When the Atlanta Falcons drafted running back Bijan Robinson with the No. 8 overall pick in the NFL Draft, they made arguably the safest pick in the first round.
Robinson is considered an elite talent who is going to an offensive system that showcases the running back.
When talent meets opportunity, the outcome is usually a positive one. According to Pointsbet, Robinson is the early betting favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at +250 (bet $100 to win $250).
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Robinson finished ahead of Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young (+450) who was the No. 1 overall pick in April.
Third on the list may be a bit more surprising. The Detroit Lions selected running back Jahmyr Gibbs No. 12 overall. They cleared the slate for him to make an immediate impact. Gibbs comes in at +600.
Following Gibbs is new Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (+700). Stroud was the second-overall selection last month and should get a chance to play right away for new head coach Demeco Ryans. That Stroud comes in fourth on the list may be indicative of how bettors feel feel about the state of the Texans vs. the Panthers.
Rounding out the top five is former Florida Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson. Robinson was selected fourth-overall by the Indianapolis Colts, and he checks in just below Stroud at +750.
There are questions around the wisdom of selecting a running back in the top-10 in today’s NFL. ESPN analytics analyst Seth Walder went as far as calling the pick “indefensible.”
Bijan Robinson is set to be the focal point of the Falcons offense. He’s a terrific receiver out of the backfield. He holds the all-time Texas Longhorns record for receiving touchdowns from a running back with eight.
Should Robinson bring rookie of the year honors to the Falcons, there’s a pretty good chance he’ll be bringing and NFC South title with him.
Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons: +250
Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers: +450
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions: +600
C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans: +700
Anthony Richardson, QB, Indianapolis Colts: +750